EARLY MARRIAGE AND POPULATION GROWTH RATE IN UGANDA: A CASE STUDY OF CENTRAL REGION

Table of Contents

DECLARATION

APPROVAL

DEDICATION iv

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT v

ABSTRACT

LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES x

ABBREVIATIONS

CHAPTER ONE 1

1.0 Introduction 1

1.1 Background of the study problem 1

1.2 Problem statement 3

1.3 Purpose of the study 4

1.4 Objectives of the study 4

1.5 Hypotheses of the study 4

1.6 Scope of the study 4

1.6.1 Geographical scope 4

1.6.2 Content scope 4

1.6.3 The theoretical scope 4

1.7 Significance of the study 5

1.8 Definition of key terms

CHAPTER TWO 6

2.0 Introduction 6

vii

2.1 Population growth .6

2.2 Problems associated with population growth rate 6

2.3 Early marriage 9

2.3.1 Factors Responsible For Early Marriages 10

2,4 Related literature review, “Population ai~d Resource constraints” 12

2.4 Theoretical review 14

CHAPTER THREE 16

3.0 Introduction 16

3.1 Research Design 16

3.2 Research population 16

3.3 Sampling technique 16

3.4 Research instruments 17

3.5 Data analysis 17

CHAPTER FOUR 18

4.0 Introduction 18

4.1 The trend of population growth rate in Uganda (1955 -2017) 18

4.2 Stationary test 20

4.2.1 Autocorrelation Function (ACF) and Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF).. 20

4.3 The relationship between early marriage and population growth rate in Uganda 25

4.3.1 Correlation analysis between early marriage and population growth rate 26

4.3.2 Regression analysis between early marriage and population growth rate 26

CHAPTER FIVE 28

5.1 DICUSSION 28

viii

ABSTRACT This study aimed at finding out the relationship between early marriage and population

growth rate. The study was based on the following objectives; to find out the trend of

population growth rate in Uganda (1955 - 2017) and to find out the relationship between

early marriage and population growth rate in Uganda.

The study applied a line graph to establish the trend of population growth rate. Regression

analysis and correlation analysis were applied to determine the relationship and the strength

of relationship between early marriage and population growth rate in Uganda respectively.

The trend of population growth rate showed ups and downs, where drastic downs were in

the periods of political wars between 1970’s and 1980’s. The regression model “Y = —0.154

+ 0.793X” implied that without early marriage, population growth rate would reduce by

0.154% and a unit increase in early marriage, increases population growth rate by 0.793%.

The sig-value (0.006) for early marriage was less than 0.05 level of significancy; therefore,

early marriage explains variations in population growth rate significantly. There was a weak

positive relationship between early marriage and population growth rate (r2=O.300).

The recommendations are;

The government should embark on sensitization of the public on the dangers of child

marriage and enforce laws against it, the government should provide family planning

equipments especially in rural area as well as providing awareness to the public about their

importance; this can reduce the high fertility rate.

The government should embark on reducing poverty that forces parents to marry off their

daughters in exchange of pride price; this may help to reduce on early marriage and

population growth rate in return.

vi