An Investigation Of The Relationship Between Financial Development And Economic Growth In Namibia

SYLVIA KINYONDO 66 PAGES (14251 WORDS) Economics Thesis

ABSTRACT

The study investigates the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Namibia. It employed an auto-regression distributive lag modelling approach on quarterly data for the period 1995 to 2014. The study used the following variables, namely: ratio of broad money supply to gross domestic product, real gross domestic product (GDP), saving and interest rate.

Firstly, the results of the unit root tests showed a combination of integration of order zero and one. Secondly, the results for co-integration revealed the existence of a long-run stable relationship among the variables. Thirdly, the ratio of broad money supply to gross domestic product was found to have a negative and statistical significant relationship with economic activity. This suggests a negative relationship between financial development and economic activity in Namibia. Similarly, real interest rate and saving were also found to have a negative and statistically insignificant relationship with economic activity. On the contrary, the lagged real gross domestic product was found to have a positive and statistically insignificant relationship with economic activi