FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA

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ABSTRACT
The study examines the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Nigeria for the period 1960 to 2008 using dynamic time series model. Granger causality is tested within multivariate co integration and vector error correction model (VECM) framework. Four different measures of financial development are used to capture the different channels through which finance can affect growth. The empirical findings provide evidence that there is a stable positive long run relationship between financial development and economic growth. The result further showed that in Nigeria the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth is sensitive to the choice of proxy used for financial development. Financial development cause economic growth when private sector credit is used as proxy but when money to income ratio, bank deposits and domestic credit ratios are alternatively used as proxies, growth is found to cause financial development.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Title page ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- i

Certification ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ii

Approval page ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- iii

Dedication --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- iv

Acknowledgement ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ v

Table of Contents ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ vi

Abstract ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ viii

CHAPTER ONE: Introduction

1.1Background of the Study ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1

1.2Statement of the Problem -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3

1.3Objectives of the Study --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7

1.4Statement of Hypothesis --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7

1.5Significance of the Study -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8

1.6Scope of the Study -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------9

CHAPTER TWO: Literature Survey

2.1 Theoretical Studies ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10

2.2 Empirical Studies -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------12

2.3 Overview of the Financial Sector in Nigeria ----------------------------------------------------- 20

2.4 Limitations of Previous Studies -------------------------------------------------------------------- 23

CHAPTER THREE: Methodology

3.1 The Model ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 25

3.2 Model Specification -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 26

3.3 Justification of Model ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 30

3.4 Estimation Procedure ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 30

3.5 Data and Sources of Data -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 33

CHAPTER FOUR: Data Presentation, Analysis and Interpretation

4.1 Unit Roots Test Result ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 36

4.2 Co integration Test Result ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 37

4.3 Vector Error Correction Model Result ----------------------------------------------------------- 40

4.4 Impulse Response Function ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 46

CHAPTER FIVE: Summary of Findings and Recommendation

5.1 Summary of Findings ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 48

5.2 Policy Recommendation ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50

References ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 52

Appendix

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FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA

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